9 Comments
Sep 1, 2022Liked by Peter Hague

Excellent analysis.

However, for most purposes, I prefer the stony chondrite and carbonaceous chondrite near-Earth asteroids. The carbonaceous ones tend to include volatile elements that are likely scarce on Mars.

One additional potential of Mars compared to chondrtitic asteroids is the potential for terraforming an oxygen atmosphere from its vast stores of frozen CO2 and H2O. Lack of nitrogen, hence better air pressure, and fire hazards are issues. Fun trick: set steel wool on fire in pure oxygen. Better fun trick: toss a bra into a puddle of liquid O2. (https://combatace.com/forums/topic/2312-the-man-from-lox/) But forms of Earth life including perhaps our descendants might adapt.

Expand full comment

Isn't the best counter to those "why go to Mars/space" people is to elaborate on the benefits of having an insurance policy against extinction level event on Earth? I found that argument to shut these types down very, very hard to the point that they stutter and drool.

Expand full comment

There are relatively few extinction events that can't be survived by living underground for a period of time, unless it destroys the planet. Living underground here on Earth will be much easier than living underground on Mars, especially when you consider there's a point at which you can emerge to the surface again.

I think if were really serious about preservering the human race from extinction, we would be building hundreds of underground shelters to house hundreds of thousands of people, and we'd be doing it here on Earth. It's also gonna be much easier to build those shelters here, as opposed to another planet that's inhospitable to life.

The idea of using Mars as a lifeboat for humanity is romantic and inspiring, but it's not a practical solution. Even hundreds of years from now, I doubt a colony on Mars would be self-sustaining. Which means if humans on Earth die, it's only a matter of time for the people on Mars.

Expand full comment

In my experience their immediate response is to spend the money that would be spent on space development on preventing extinction-level events (primarily climate change) instead. They value the Earth, not humanity, and it is little consolation for a small outputs to survive on an unforgiving planet.

Expand full comment

So it can be used for a penal colony.

Expand full comment

What economic justification is there to go to mars ? i.e. what is there on mars that can't be found on earth ......................or that is found more on mars, plus the fact that space travel is expensive as hell makes extracting resources from mars and transporting it back to earth a pipe dream . Even if you think that the starship will lower down the costs of space exploration maybe to idk 2 million, it still won't make sense. Since you can only go to mars within a reasonable amount of time by using a transfer widow which only happens every 26 months .

Expand full comment
author

The point isn't to bring the resources back to Earth. Its to use them there, to provide a life for the colonists.

Expand full comment

Not a whole lot of practical considerations, besides the idea that there's extra solar energy to be harvested on Mars. I would have liked to have read rebuttals about the actual criticisms of Mars colonization, since "we have enough solar energy here" isn't really one of them. It could be an argument that people raise 5000 years from now, but it's not gonna be relevant for a while.

Expand full comment
author

There is an implicit argument about solar energy when people hit back with "why not colonise the deep oceans/Antarctica". This posts shows why such criticism is unfounded.

Expand full comment