Mass Value Report for July 2026
What will life after Falcon 9 look like?
Back in 2024, SpaceX suffered some minor anomalies with the second stage of Falcon 9, and I noticed that, after returning to flight, the trajectory of the Falcon program had changed. The prior two years had seen the fastest growth in flight rate ever - almost 60% year-on-year, compounding, comparable to the rate of transistor growth under Moore’s Law, which drove the computer revolution.
Post-anomaly, the growth rate slowed. There were still more flights in 2025 than in 2024, but if we look at the cumulative flight data, over multiple years, the abrupt shift is obvious:
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